Spanish Super Cup: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Match Preview, Prediction, TV channels & Lineups
Bitter rivals Atletico and Real Madrid take their heated derby to Jeddah for a high-stakes Spanish Super Cup semi-final, with Real seeking redemption for their 5-2 league defeat in September.
Kick Off Time?
Competition (Round): Spanish Super Cup (Semi-final)
Kick-off (GMT): 19:00, Thursday, January 8, 2026
Stadium, Location: King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Match Facts
The winner advances to the final to face Barcelona, who defeated Athletic Bilbao 4-0 in the first semi-final.
Real Madrid, led by Xabi Alonso, are desperate to avenge an embarrassing 5-2 loss to Atletico earlier this season.
Real Madrid are without superstar Kylian Mbappé (knee injury) and Éder Militão, while Brahim Díaz is away at AFCON.
Atletico relies on the strike partnership of Julián Alvarez and Alexander Sørloth, while Real's attack is led by Vinicius Junior and hat-trick hero Gonzalo García.
Real Madrid enters the match on a four-game winning streak; Atletico has struggled recently, trailing the league leaders by 11 points.
Prediction of AI
AI models give Real Madrid a slight edge with a 41% win probability, compared to 32% for Atletico and 27% for a draw in regulation time.
The most likely outcome predicted is a narrow 2-1 victory for Real Madrid or a 1-1 draw leading to extra time.
"Both Teams to Score" is highly favored (64%), reflecting the offensive talent on display despite the absences of key defenders like David Alaba and Militão.
How to Watch Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid in the Spain, UK and US?
Spain: Live on Movistar+ (Movistar Supercopa channel).
UK: Broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and streaming on discovery+.
US: Televised on ESPN2 and ESPN Deportes, with live streaming on ESPN+ and Fubo.
TV Channel and Live Stream: You can also follow Xscore808 live updates for other countries.
