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UEFA Champions League 2025/26: Benfica vs Real Madrid Preview, Prediction, TV channels & Predicted Lineup

Xscore808

28 Jan, 2026

José Mourinho faces his former club in a must-win Champions League finale. Third-placed Real Madrid seeks to secure a top-eight finish, while 29th-placed Benfica fights desperately to salvage a knockout playoff spot at home.

UEFA Champions League 2025/26: Benfica vs Real Madrid Preview, Prediction, TV channels & Predicted Lineup

Match Facts

For the first time, José Mourinho faces his former pupil Álvaro Arbeloa in a high-stakes tactical duel.

Kylian Mbappé enters in scintillating form with 11 goals in the competition, needing just one more to break the record for most goals in a single UCL league/group phase.

Real Madrid continues to travel with a makeshift backline, missing Antonio Rüdiger, Éder Militão, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Ferland Mendy.

Benfica’s captain Nicolás Otamendi is set to become only the third Argentine to reach 100 Champions League appearances.

Real Madrid's Alvaro Carreras returns to the Estádio da Luz to face his former club just months after his summer transfer to the Bernabéu.

Predicted Lineup

Benfica (4-2-3-1): Trubin; Dedic, Silva, Otamendi, Dahl; Aursnes, Barrenechea; Barreiro, Sudakov, Prestianni; Pavlidis.

Real Madrid (4-3-3): Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Huijsen, Carreras; Tchouaméni, Guler, Bellingham; Mastantuono, Mbappé, Vinícius Jr.

Prediction of AI

AI models favor Real Madrid (58%), with a draw at 22% and a Benfica victory at 20%.

The most frequent simulated result is a 1-2 away win for Real Madrid.

Despite the defensive injuries for Madrid, AI anticipates a high-scoring game, with "Over 2.5 goals" rated as a high-probability outcome.

Kick Off Time?

Competition (Round): UEFA Champions League (League Phase - MD 8)

Kick-off (GMT): 20:00, Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Stadium, Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

How to Watch in the UK and US?

In the UK: Live on TNT Sports and available for streaming via discovery+.

In the US: Streamed live exclusively on Paramount+, with Spanish-language coverage on ViX.

TV Channel and Live Stream: You can also follow Xscore808 live updates for other countries.

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